So this week, I'm not overthinking things. My instincts have been better than my record this year, and I'm banking on it. Some games had me doubting myself last week, but this week, this is what is going to happen. 10 wins at least. Oh yeah.

Matt Leinart isn't Favre yet. Packers still have some life left.
Vick and the Falcons won a shootout against a great defense last week and Cincy isn't the same team this year.
Baltimore, sans McNair, is no match for the Saints in the Superdome.
Houston is on the road and Tenessee is rested, but the Texans are on a high after spanking the Jags.
Jacksonville and Philly are both needing to bounce back, but the Eagles are a better squad and are at home. McNabb has too much pride.
Seattle is wounded and Kansas City is somehow getting wins out of some kid named Huard. Chiefs in a blowout.
The 49ers are at home to the Bears.
Tampa drained the emotional pool last week and won't have the same jump against the Giants in New York.
St. Louis is an underrated team. San Diego is an overrated (just see Josh's KC/SD comment last week)team and the Rams defense will eat Phillip Rivers for an early supper.
Indianapolis and Denver will be a damn good game, but Manning, at least in the regular season, finds ways to win. The Colts win another 'too-close-for-comfort' game.
The hapless Browns host the Jets, who have an outside shot at a wild card spot.
The Steelers has a lot to prove if they want a shot at a repeat. The Raiders are a good place to start.
Dallas' QB issues show up on Sunday night and the Panthers are behind a number of teams for that wild card spot. They'll come to play.
New England will lose by a field goal and Chester Taylor will continue his assault on Tiki Barber and the rushing title. Vikings defense will force Brady to make too many plays out of nothing.

I may be going down under, but you, my friend, are the one going down.