Atlanta over Tampa Bay

Dolphins over Buffalo

Philadelphia over Washington

Seattle over St. Louis

Carolina over the New York Jets
Man these teams have similar stats. And similarly awful quarterbacks.

Bengals over Browns

Colts over Texans

Chargers over Chiefs

49ers over Jaguars
The 49ers would be 8-3 if the had the Jags' schedule. And they have the sixth-ranked run defence. I'll take the 49ers. Counterintuitive, I know...

Vikings over Bears

Titans over Cardinals

Ravens over Steelers
As you said in Denver, they are just not the same team without Polamalu

Saints over Patriots
New England is awful away from Foxborough