WOW this week is nuts. 3.5 is not even close to safe. But here goes nothing:

Atlanta over Tampa Bay
NFC South teams are 10-0 at home in the division, and I know you put a lot of stock in home/away records, so here it is.

Washington over Cincinnati
I will enjoy the few easy picks this week.

Tennessee over Houston
No chance

Green Bay over Jacksonville
Both teams are losing a lot lately, but Jacksonville looks worse doing it.

San Fransisco over Miami
I may regret this, but the 49ers have been playing well, and the Dolphins have been average.

Seattle over St.Louis
Why wasn't THIS moved to prime time?

Jets over Buffalo
Both played poorly last week, but the Jets have a bigger upside, plus Trent Edwards is playing like ass.

San Diego over Kansas City
San Diego is the best team with a losing record ever. Ever.

Indianapolis over Detroit
Massacre. Just a massacre.

Minnesota over Arizona
Perhaps I am picking with my heart rather than my head, but Minnesota has a lot more to play for, and the Williamses are in. Kurt Warner is dangerous, but the Vikings allow big plays and make big plays on the defensive side, so I'll stick with my running game, thanks.

Baltimore over Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh squeaked one out over a good team at home last week, and Baltimore finally has an offense to keep that ridiculous defense rested. I don't think the Steelers move the ball at all in this one, and I'll take one or two big plays from Baltimore for the win.

Carolina over Denver
Has Denver clinched yet? Because they aren't going to win in Carolina.

New England over Oakland
And I am happy for more easy choices.

Giants over Dallas
This game will be nuts, but I have to take the better team, even without their star RB.

Philadelphia over Cleveland
Philly is good down the stretch, apparently, so I'll take them, but I doubt they have enough time left to make the playoffs.